2024-12-10
Modelling was in recent times given a bad name by Prof Ferguson of Imperial College, who produced estimates for the impact of Covid so wide of the actualité that they even made mainstream media.
Mind you, he was only following in the footsteps of the Climate Change zealots of the IPCC, whose predictions were all produced by modelling whatever their climate scientists wanted, resulting in a wide variety of predictions that were usually over and above the climate temperatures / sea levels that actually ensued.
Has the Met Office also caught the modelling bug?
Yes - they have been modelling the weather for a long time.
Are their models accurate? I don't know. How would we know? Weather forecasting is an imprecise science, as Michael Fish would no doubt attest.
Are their models run on adequate data?