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2021-09-22

According to the government agencies all deaths within 28 days of a positive PCR test have always been classified as a "Covid-19" death. Well that's not quite true - in the early days they were so keen to capture as many deaths as decently possible that they used 60 days ...   but then reduced it to 28 days - frankly it made little difference since figures subsequently published look very similar in overall scale, implying that most of the deaths do occur within 28 days.

Should we not apply the same rules to identify deaths caused by the vaccines? It's not obvious that we should, but for lack of any other rule perhaps it makes for a useful yardstick.

Of course we cannot because these figures are not published - but the Daily Exposé reports that the ONS recently did publish deaths in England which occurred within a slightly shorter qualifying period - 21 days or three weeks - for the period January to June 2021. Whilst a shorter qualifying period will probably underestimate the true figures for 28 days, this may likewise make little overall difference to the scale of the numbers reported.

For comparison, the figures for Scotland of those dying within 28 days of vaccination over a slightly different but not dissimilar period was reportedly 5,522. Since the population of Scotland is around five and a half million, that works out at approximately 1 per 1000 head of population!!

If we estimate the population of England at approximately 55 million ...  then we can all "do the math". 

So how many?

For comparison, the MHRA yellow card system currently (08/09/2021) reports only 1645 deaths since vaccinations began in December 2020. 

The Daily Exposé article goes on to speculate about numbers outside these date ranges but until real numbers become available, speculation is just that - speculation.

We should also remember that what matters is the actual cause of death that in an ideal world is determined by a qualified clinician with no political axe to grind. Sadly it does appear that we have grounds to believe that such clinicians may be in short supply these days, if their apparent willingness to apply experimental inoculations in total disregard for the Nuremberg Code is any guide.

Further Reading here.

For the record, I consider this to be an exercise in more speculation. The figures are just too interwoven to draw firm conclusions, and how sure are we that the PCR test doesn't detect the spike protein that we may assume all vaccinated persons are likely to harbour (since that's how these vaccines are supposed to work)? If it does, then are many "breakthrough Covid" cases in fact vaccine adverse events? So the Exposé is probably right to concentrate their analysis on total deaths from all causes, even if it does leave us with heads that spin.

For the record, the graph below is taken from Public Health England's weekly Flu and Covid-19 report for week 27 2021 and shows deaths from all causes (ie: not restricted to Covid) for England:

nd.

It can be readily seen that all excess deaths (above baseline) occurred in the initial vaccination period (Dec-Feb). This is the period when Covid diagnosis by PCR test would have been most accurate since the unvaccinated predominated in the population (leaving aside the questionable inherent accuracy of the PCR test).

What we cannot know is how many of these excess deaths were due to (a) Covid (b) vaccination or (c) lock-downs etc.

The Daily Exposé's headline figure of 161K "dead after vaccination" is not vastly in excess of the normal daily deaths in England over the half year period, and almost certainly the majority of these cannot be attributed to the vaccines.

The same can still be said for Dec-Jan-Feb although the excess is much more pronounced. The question that then needs answering is whether these excess deaths were really due to Covid, or whether they were due to vaccination of the vulnerable and elderly with poor immune systems and comorbidities?