2021-10-02
The Daily Sceptic reports on the latest mortality data from the ONS showing deaths registered among 15-19 year olds are rising significantly (compared with 2020) post vaccine roll-out.
"Between weeks 23 and 37 in 2021 there have been 252 deaths among 15-19 year-olds in England and Wales. This compares to 162 in the same period in 2020, an increase of 90 or 56%. That’s a lot, and deserves some kind of explanation"
(Bear in mind that the graphs show the cumulative totals year to date, not the weekly numbers, which should look nearly flat across the year)
Correlation is not necessarily causation, but should we be worried?
In point of fact it is the 2021 graph that shows the flatter overall trend of weekly deaths from all causes, not the 2020 graph, so was there something about 2020 that caused a higher death rate than normal between weeks 20 - 23? If there was then that seems also to have affected 2021 since the graphs track each other very closely over this time period.
Or the abnormality may have been a lower than normal death rate after week 23 in 2020?
If the higher death rate in the early part of the year is a normal seasonal pattern then we need to know what caused the divergence after week 23.
From these figures the hypothesis of a link between vaccine roll-out and increased deaths is far from proven.
However it is acknowledged that vaccines do cause "rare" side effects - but how rare is "rare" really?
Given that this age group is at extremely low risk from Covid-19 the increase in deaths in 2021 needs to be explained.
